May Executive Turnover Points Positive for Economy

June 20, 2014

Liberum Research’s executive turnover data for May 2014 continued to show positive signs for the North American economies. CEO and CFO changes monitored by Liberum saw very high percentage increases from the previous month of April and C-level turnover showed a healthy increase over the same period. The numbers were not quite as positive when viewed from the same month of May a year earlier, but Liberum does not view the year to year by the one month as a real issue. The recovery continues to move in spurts, both up and down, but the overall trend remains positive. Wednesday, June 4, ADP released its Employment Report for May and while the totals were below most analysts expectations, the U.S. Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Employment Report, the far more important of the two, released Friday, June 6, was better than the ADP report and bodes well for the continued up and down recovery. This BLS report was far closer to results Liberum saw in May as it related to executive turnover.

Last Wednesday’s ADP’s Employment Report for May 2014, as stated above, was below analysts expectations but was not terrible. According to the ADP Employment Report:

“After a strong post-winter rebound in April, job growth in May slowed somewhat,” said Carlos Rodriguez, president and chief executive officer of ADP. “The 179,000 jobs added figure is higher than May of last year and in line with the average over the past twelve months.”

Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, said, “Job growth moderated in May. The slowing in growth was concentrated in Professional/Business Services and companies with 50-999 employees. The job market has yet to break out from the pace of growth that has prevailed over the last three years.”

Last Friday’s U.S. Labor Department’s BLS Report, while not terrific, was reaosnably good:

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 217,000 in May, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 6.3 percent. Employment increased in professional and business services, health care and social assistance, food services and drinking places, and transportation and warehousing.

Liberum Comparison Breakdown of Key May Executive Turnover

Below is a breakdown of Liberum’s key executive category percentage changes for May 2014 compared with May a year earlier and the previous month of April 2014.

For May 2014 decreases took place in two key categories. CEO changes declined 5% from a year earlier, board of director changes declined 21%, whereas overall C-level (as defined by Liberum Research as board of directors, CEOs, CFOs down to corporate VPs) remained virtually the same and CFO changes increased 17%.

The month to month change in executive turnover (April 2014 to May 2014) showed a different picture with increases in three of the four key categories of 38% for CEOs, CFO changes increased a whopping 48%, C-level changes increased 8% while board of director changes declined 14%.

Below are the overall turnover totals for May. The information is just illustrative of how institutional investors could view executive turnover and its possible relationship with a company’s performance. Using Liberum’s database could offer a totally new perspective on investment and is a potential way to come up with unique special situation opportunities.

KEY CEO CHANGES – MAY 2014

58 COMPANIES WITH CEO CHANGES WORTH RE-EXAMINING

According to Liberum’s Management Change Database, a total of 211 CEO related changes occurred during May 2014. Here are 58 from the time period that caught my eye. By significant, I’m looking for situations where I think a particularly strong or weak choice has been made – given the apparent current state of the company – or where there is an interesting special situation.

COMPANY TICKER EXCHANGE MARKET CAP $ MILLIONS

Adcare Health Sys ADK NYSE

Aggreko AGK LONDON 45

Ambassadors Group EPAX NASDAQ 60

Ambit Biosciences AMBI NASDAQB 110

American Caresour ANCI NASDAQ 11

Assurant, Inc. AIZ NYSE 4793

California Gold M CGM CVE

Canadian Pacific Railway LTD (USA) CP NYSE 27698

Canamex Resources CSQ CVE

Corecomm Solution COCMF OBB 649

Covance Inc. CVD NYSE 4826

Crocs, Inc. CROX NASDAQ 1308

ENSCO International Inc ESV NYSE 11837

Enzymebiosystems ENZB OBB 19

Excel Corp EXCC OTN 9

Famous Dave’s of America, Inc. DAVE NASDAQ 227

Ford Motor Company F NYSE 61662

FTI Consulting, Inc. FCN NYSE 1236

Furmanite Corp FRM NYSE 412

Green Tech Soluti GTSO OBB 986

Greenplex Svcs In GRPX OTN 43

Hansen Medical, I HNSN NASDAQ 147

Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. HE NYSE 2436

Hyduke Energy Ser HYD TORONTO 13

Infoblox Inc. Com BLOX NYSE 690

International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. IFF NYSE 7982

Ja Energy JAEN OBB 9

Krispy Kreme Doughnuts KKD NYSE 1210

LGL Group Inc. LGL NYSE 11

Lihua Internation LIWA NASDAQ 62

Magnachip Semicon MX NYSE 439

Marin Software In MRIN NYSE 324

Maxwell Technologies Inc. MXWL NASDAQ 483

National Bank Hol NBHC NYSE 844

Navidea Biopharma NAVB NYSE 204

Nokian Tyres NRE FINLAND

Omnicare, Inc. OCR NYSE 6271

Orofino Gold Corp ORFG OTN 2

OXiGENE, Inc. OXGN NASDAQ 27

Parker Drilling Company PKD NYSE 803

PGT, Inc. PGTI NASDAQ 395

PolyOne Corporation POL NYSE 3533

Pope Resources POPE NASDAQ 304

Prospect Global R PGRX OTN 4

Radient Pharm Cp RXPC OTN

Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. SBH NYSE 4135

Sierra Monitor Co SRMC OTN 16

SupportSoft, Inc. SPRT NASDAQ 124

Target Corporation TGT NYSE 36939

The Mosaic Company MOS NYSE 19133

Tier Technologies, Inc. TIER OTN 711

Vhgi Holdings Inc VHGI OTN 891

Viewtran Group, I VIEW NASDAQ 58

Virtus Oil and Ga VOIL OBB

Vulcan Materials Co VMC NYSE 7815

WesBanco, Inc. WSBC NASDAQ 847

Wpx Energy, Inc. WPX NYSE 4345

Yaterra Ventures YTRV OTN 635

MAY 2014 MANAGEMENT CHANGE STATISTICS

C-LEVEL MANAGEMENT CHANGE STATISTICS

GRAND TOTAL – 1513

TOP INDUSTRY SECTORS

> Drugs/Biotech – 137

> Business Services – 102

> Banking – 98

MAY 2014 CEO CHANGE STATISTICS

GRAND TOTAL – 211

TOP INDUSTRY SECTORS

> Energy – 19

> Drugs – 17

> Health Services – 11

MAY 2014 CFO CHANGE STATISTICS

GRAND TOTAL – 247

TOP INDUSTRY SECTORS

> Business Services – 23

> Drugs/Biotech – 20

> Energy – 18

MAY 2014 BOARD OF DIRECTOR CHANGE STATISTICS

GRAND TOTAL – 428

TOP INDUSTRY SECTORS

> Drugs/Biotech – 39

> Energy – 30

> Business Services – 29