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ROUNDTABLE FORUM: PAPER & FOREST PRODUCTS


Full article published: 05/19/2008


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TWST: Don, in general how were results in the first quarter for the paper and forest products industry relative to what you thought that they were going to be?
Mr. Roberts: They came in a little weaker than we were expecting. There is some noise in them. I think we have to abstract a little from the short-term noise and see where we are in the cycle. That is probably where we should be focusing.

TWST: What has caused the shortfall that you have seen?
Mr. Roberts: It's input costs. That's one of the key things. We saw it clearly in the International Paper (IP) results, with higher costs of energy, chemicals, distribution and fiber. It is interesting to note that when we look at the output prices, they are clearly hovering near a cyclical peak. However, profit margins are well below those achieved at previous peaks. One of the reasons is exactly what I have mentioned — it is because we have this cost-push pressure on product prices.

 

Tickers included in this excerpt: ABH, CFP:TSX, IFP:TSX, IP, LPX, MWV, SSCC, TRE:TSX, UFS, WY

 

For more information call (212) 952 7433. The Wall Street Transcript does not endorse any of the comments made by interviewees, and does not make stock recommendations.