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Analyst Interview Excerpt
INVESTING IN LEISURE COMPANIES - STEVEN M. WIECZYNSKI - STIFEL, NICOLAUS & COMPANY, INC.


Full article published: 11/26/2007


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TWST: What parts of the leisure space do you cover?
Mr. Wieczynski: We basically focus on the gaming side of the business and, at this point, cruise lines and names that fit in with cruise lines.

TWST: How has the cruise line space done so far this year from a business perspective?
Mr. Wieczynski: Not well. What it has come down to is the cruise lines have been really affected by the price of oil and fuel. Fuel now accounts for about 8% to 9% of revenues and that's up from about 3% or 4%, just three or four years ago. It's more than doubled and that's what at this point is really starting to eat into earnings. The Caribbean markets have been pretty weak, and that hasn't helped them out too much at all this year, but the outlook over the next couple of months is starting to look good. It looks like the Caribbean markets are starting to stabilize. What these guys have done is they have taken a lot of their capacity and they moved it out of the Caribbean region to other parts of the world, most notably Europe. Europe is an under penetrated cruise market and pricing in Europe and demand in Europe have been pretty strong. What this has done is, since they have taken capacity out of Caribbean, there are less ships there now and less capacity. It seems like the demand is starting to pick for the Caribbean. Pricing should start picking up as we go into the first half of 2008 in the Caribbean.

 

Tickers included in this excerpt: CCL, HET, IGT, LVS, RCL, WMS

 

For more information call (212) 952 7433. The Wall Street Transcript does not endorse any of the comments made by interviewees, and does not make stock recommendations.