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Analyst Interview Excerpt
OUTLOOK FOR NATURAL GAS COMPANIES – FADEL GHEIT – OPPENHEIMER & CO. INC.


Full article published: 11/19/2007


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TWST: How has business in the natural gas space been this year relative to expectations?
Mr. Gheit: It has been volatile. I think gas prices have been flat. They definitely have not kept up with surging oil prices. The industry fundamentals kept gas in check, while oil prices have been obviously benefiting from all the global tension, excessive speculation and so forth.

TWST: Why haven't we seen the same reaction in gas prices, given all the political and fear issues that have boosted oil prices?
Mr. Gheit: Natural gas is more of a regional commodity; oil is more global. Any international crisis will have an impact on oil prices, but obviously would not have the same impact on natural gas prices. The disparity between gas prices from different regions is magnified significantly higher than the disparity in oil prices. For example, the gas price in Argentina is between $1 and $1.50; the gas prices in the US and Europe are between $6 and $7. The gas price in Equatorial Guinea or West Africa in general or in the Middle East could be less than $0.50 or even lower. Actually, we don't have to go far — there is a disparity in natural gas between Rocky Mountain gas and the Henry Hub gas. It is basically infrastructure and the lack of transportation that makes gas more regional. The prices are determined by supply and demand based on a regional, not on a global basis.

 

For more information call (212) 952 7433. The Wall Street Transcript does not endorse any of the comments made by interviewees, and does not make stock recommendations.