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Analyst Interview Excerpt
OUTLOOK FOR HOMEBUILDING: JOSEPH SROKA - MERRILL LYNCH GLOBAL SECURITIES


Full article published: 10/13/2003


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TWST: Joe, how have these stocks done so far this year?
Mr. Sroka: Year to date the eight homebuilding companies that we follow have appreciated approximately 50%.

TWST: So they've had a good year. Does that reflect what's going on in the housing market?
Mr. Sroka: The housing market has been good, but the performance of the stocks has actually exceeded that of the housing market. The companies have continued to increase market share. What we see reflected in their earnings, and then, ultimately, their stock prices, is their ability to grow market share.

TWST: What is it about those companies that allows them to gain share?
Mr. Sroka: The larger homebuilding companies are gaining market share as they expand their operations into new markets as well as gaining share within existing markets. This is achieved by opening new communities where consumers can purchase homes, not dissimilar from a retailer opening more stores. Think about a new homebuilding community, for a minute, not as a location where homes are being built, but rather as a location where a consumer would go to purchase a home. If a company like Centex (CTX) or Lennar (LEN) has more of those 'stores' open around the United States over a period of time, they have that many more locations where a consumer can go to purchase one of their homes.

 

Tickers included in this excerpt: BZH, CTX, CXP, DHI, KBH, LEN, MDC, PHM, TOL

 

For more information call (212) 952 7433. The Wall Street Transcript does not endorse any of the comments made by interviewees, and does not make stock recommendations.