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ROUNDTABLE FORUM: HOMEBUILDING


Full article published: 12/02/2002


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TWST: Homebuilding is in one of the few sectors that have done well this year. Jim, how has it managed to stay such a hot growth area?
Mr. Wilson: I think it's been a combination of factors. Obviously from a macro national housing market standpoint, lower interest rates have had a lot to do with the market holding together. The fact that even though the economy has been weak, job losses have not been terribly significant has also been pretty good at holding the overall market together. Specifically with the public companies, and I'm sure we'll talk about it more, they are constantly gaining market share because the strength of their balance sheet against small players has allowed them to do much better than the overall national market not only over the last year, but also over the last 10 years.

TWST: David?
Mr. Jarrett: I would certainly agree with those comments. I would also add that since a lot of people have been badly burned over the last few years by the stock market, they are now seeking refuge in their homes. After the collapse of technology and telecommunication stocks over the last two years, investors were just starting to pick up their heads, when suddenly they got a rash of accounting scandals, accelerating earlier this year. I think a lot of investors are now saying, 'Well, if I cannot trust managements, their lawyers, their accountants, security analysts or the government to monitor these companies, why should I invest in common stocks? Maybe I should put my money into an area that has been proven to be solid over the last several decades, which would be homebuilding ' owning your own home.' I think that's a significant part of the current strength in the housing market. I know a number of my friends have thrown their hands up on the stock market and are thinking more and more about putting money into a home, whether it be remodeling or finding a new home or an upgrade home.

 

Tickers included in this excerpt: BZH, CTX, DHI, KBH, LEN, MDC, MTH, PHM, SPF, TOL

 

For more information call (212) 952 7433. The Wall Street Transcript does not endorse any of the comments made by interviewees, and does not make stock recommendations.