TECHNOLOGY | HEALTH | CONSUMER | INDUSTRIAL | FINANCIAL | NATURAL | INVESTING
 

Latest Issues
Advanced Search
Subscribe
TWST Conferences
Subscribe Online
TWST Products
Technology
Healthcare
Consumer
Industry & Services
Financial Services
Natural Resources
Investing Strategies
Who is TWST?
Contact TWST
Contact TWST Europe
Sample Issue
Home

Click the button below to talk to a live representative from The Wall Street Transcript

 

The Wall Street Transcript publishes:

Internet Security & Identity Authentication Issue
Four analysts and top management from nine sector firms examine the Security/Internet Security & Identity Authentication sector in this 51 - page Issue from The Wall Street Transcript.
Investing Strategies Report
Weekly series of interviews with TWST Editors and top money managers

Let the best minds of Wall Street pick your stock

How has Special Stock Report been able to consistently outperform the major indices? Find out how!
 

 

Analyst is currently recommending Rogers Wireless Full article published: 02/12/2002     PETER RHAMEY is a Managing Director at BMO Nesbitt Burns, Inc.


For Subscribers

Get the complete article now!

Four analysts and top management from twenty sector firms examine the investing in Canada sector in this special 129-page Investing in Canada issue from The Wall Street Transcript, available at (212/952-7433) or http://www.twst.com/info/info490.htm.

TWST: What type of guidance are the Canadian telecom companies offering for 2002?

Mr. Rhamey: This is a year of transition, just as 2001 ended up being a year of transition. But the way I would characterize it, the year of transition in 2001 came as a surprise. It was about mid-year that companies began to realize that they weren’t necessarily recording the revenue growth that they had expected, and of course, growth slowed dramatically on the telecom side due to events in September. When I take a look at the companies going forward, very few companies are calling for robust growth in 2002, and their visibility on where they’re going to get growth is lower than in 2001. So a very common theme within the TMT sector is that visibility has been reduced dramatically. That being said, I think within the TMT sector (excluding media), relative to technology, certainly the companies in general may have ratcheted down expectations for 2002 but are able to give a 2002 guidance with some degree of confidence. I understand in the technology sector it’s more of a quarter-by-quarter phenomenon. One thing I should indicate as well is the type of guidance that they’re giving: most companies are trying to improve the return on investment and as a result are taking great pains to bring down capital spending. Over the last three years many companies had spent aggressively on capital spending in the wireline segment. Sometimes spending reachs well in excess of 30% of revenue, and they’re all trying to drive that down to a number consistent with historical norms of 15% to 20%. In the wireless segment, companies are struggling on the cap ex side with keeping capital spending under control. At the same time they have to implement new technologies such as 2.5G packet data network technologies that will, hopefully, drive revenue growth for these companies on a going-forward basis.

TWST: If we can look at some of your stock picks, what are your favorite names in the group today?

Mr. Rhamey: First and foremost, we have tended to favor the large cap over the small cap at this time because investor interest in the sector (I talked earlier on about where we fit within the cycle) is limited. Therefore, investor interest in smaller cap names is not there. Using that as a general criterion, right now we prefer BCE (NYSE:BCE), which we have rated outperform with a C41 target price. We also have an outperform rating on a smaller cap name, Aliant (TSE:AIT.TO), with a target price of 34, which operates in the eastern region of Canada. Those are two incumbent local exchange carriers. Among the wireless carriers, we are currently recommending Rogers Wireless (NYSE:RCN), which is owned and controlled by Rogers Communications (NYSE:RG). It’s rated outperform with a 26 target price.

TWST: Is there anyone else you would mention?

Mr. Rhamey: I think the most useful thing for readers is probably to switch over to Rogers Wireless, which is owned and controlled by Rogers Communications. It is a small float company, but nonetheless, an interesting play on the Canadian wireless industry. When you take a look at Rogers Wireless, it operates as one of four players that operate nationally; it has over 3 million subscribers. It’s a bit of a turnaround situation from the perspective that growth over 2001 is expected to be very modest. But a number of the operating issues that they were facing in 2001 have been resolved, and the company should show good momentum going into 2002. The wireless industry and its stocks are out of favor at the current time, primarily driven by issues facing US carriers. But Canada has a more favorable industry structure than the US. With only four providers, it seems poised to outperform the US carriers on a fundamental basis, but whether the stock market actually rewards these carriers for that outperformance remains to be seen. At the current time we’re placing our bets on Rogers Wireless.

This special issue includes:

1) Investing in Cananda - In an in-depth (4,700 words) Analyst Interview, Nick Majendie, Director and Senior Vice President of Canaccord Capital Corporation, examines the outlook for the sector and shares specific stock recommendations.

2) Canadian Telecommunications - In an in-depth (3,700 words) Analyst Interview, Peter Rhamey, Managing Director at BMO Nesbitt Burns, Inc., examines the outlook for the sector and shares specific stock recommendations.

3) Canadian Software & IT Services - In an in-depth (4,200 words) Analyst Interview, Paul Bradley, Technology-Software Analyst at Canaccord Capital Corporation, examines the outlook for the sector and shares specific stock recommendations.

4) Canadian Asset Management - In an in-depth (3,800 words) Analyst Interview, Bruce Brewington, Vice President at Putnam Lovell, examines the outlook for the sector and shares specific stock recommendations.

5) CEO interviews (average 2,500 words). Top management of twenty sector firms examine the outlook for their firm and the sector.


Tickers included in this excerpt: RCN

For US quote, 
enter ticker here:
For a European quote, 
enter ticker here:
Have TWST notes emailed to you free:
Version: Email address:


For Subscribers

Get the complete article now!

Email this page


This interview is a small excerpt from a comprehensive interview published in The Wall Street Transcript on 02/11/02. For more information call (212) 952 7400. The Wall Street Transcript does not endorse any of the comments made by interviewees, and does not make stock recommendations.

Copyright 2002, Wall Street Transcript Corp.

SECTOR LINKS

  • Computers & Electronics
  • Internet, Software & Services
  • Telecommunications


     

  • HOME PRODUCTS SUBSCRIBE ABOUT ARCHIVE HOTLINE CONTACT EUROPE