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Analyst calls Immunomedics a home run bid Full article published: 01/25/2001     D. LARRY SMITH is a Pharmaceuticals Analyst at Sutro and Company


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TWST: Larry, what stands out in your mind as you look back over the past year? Which companies exceeded your estimates, and which, if any, fell short?

Mr. Smith: I think that in general the managements of drug companies are doing a very good job of guiding investors to earnings targets and meeting those targets. Unlike technology, it is not a group in which actual earnings can vary wildly away from expectations, because this is a business that rarely changes dramatically in the short term. In contrast, many technology companies are dependent on the last week of a quarter to make or break the quarter, which leads to frequent earnings surprises. Hence, this is not a group that is characterized by dramatic changes in earnings expectations. I think the changes that affect drugs arise from changing perceptions of what is happening with the pipelines, or perceptions on what may be happening to in-line product growth in the future.

TWST: Does anyone have any other names that they would like to bring to the table?

Mr. Smith: I follow some of the smaller biotechs, and I follow some specialty companies also. One of the biotechs that I’m really interested in is a company called Immunomedics (Nasdaq:IMMU). In only three years, IDEC Pharmaceuticals’ (Nasdaq:IDPH) Rituxin has reached over 400 million of sales. This is a naked antibody to the CD-20 receptor site on B cells. In the case of non-Hodgkin’s B-cell lymphoma, Rituxan depletes many malignant B-cells, probably through compliment activation after binding. In any event, Rituxan has proven to be a blockbuster product. Immunomedics has a similar antibody called LymphoCide that binds to the CD-22 receptor site on B cells. It appears, with more limited data, to be as active in indolent forms of non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma as Rituxin, and in aggressive non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma appears to be more effective as a single agent. Actually, Rituxin has not demonstrated value as a stand-alone agent in aggressive NHL. LymphoCide, however, has produced dramatic responses in a number of aggressive NHL patients. We’ve seen some very significant complete responses, as well as strong objective responses with this product. It’s my feeling that before every non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma patient dies — and unfortunately all will die because these products don’t cure the disease — they will receive multiple doses of Rituxin and LymphoCide. I believe that LymphoCide has the potential to be as big as Rituxin. So Immunomedics is my home run bid.

Tickers included in this excerpt: IMMU

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This interview is a small excerpt from a comprehensive and in-depth Roundtable discussion of Pharmaceuticals Issue featuring other analysts and published in The Wall Street Transcript on 01/22/01. For more information call (212) 952 7400. The Wall Street Transcript does not endorse any of the comments made by interviewees, and does not make stock recommendations.

Copyright 2001, Wall Street Transcript Corp.

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