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Analyst Interview Excerpt
Awaiting a Catalyst While Valuations Stay Low - Pavel Molchanov - Raymond James & Associates, Inc.


Full article published: 05/31/2010


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TWST: The hot issue at the moment is the recent oil rig explosion in the Gulf. What does that mean for the space in the long term, and will it make drilling more difficult?
Mr. Molchanov: Ironically, it was only about a week ago that the Obama administration announced new rules that would open up more offshore acreage to drilling. So from a political standpoint, this type of incident will obviously not help perception of offshore oil and gas. But we need to put such once-in-a-decade events in perspective. The fact of the matter is that Gulf of Mexico drilling has gotten a great deal safer over the past several decades, thanks to better technology and more effective safety practices. I think it's too early to judge whether this disaster will make it significantly tougher to drill, but it certainly doesn't help perceptions of the industry.

TWST: Is it likely to raise costs, with more regulation and greater scrutiny?
Mr. Molchanov: I just think it's too early to judge. Offshore drilling is already regulated quite heavily from Washington. As a knee-jerk reaction, regulators may well try to impose greater scrutiny. But again, when we look at the industry's track record, severe oil spills like this are exceedingly rare. Of course, it's always unfortunate when it happens, but thankfully it's not common at all.

 

Tickers included in this excerpt: BP, CDXS, CHK, COP, CVX, DVN, E, HES, MRO, RDS-A, SNP, TOT, VLO, XOM, XTO

 

For more information call (212) 952 7433. The Wall Street Transcript does not endorse any of the comments made by interviewees, and does not make stock recommendations.