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Analyst Interview Excerpt
CLEAN WINNERS IN THE ENERGY SECTOR – BRYCE DILLE – JMP SECURITIES LLC


Full article published: 09/21/2009


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TWST: Please begin with a brief overview of the sectors that you cover within alternative energy.
Mr. Dille: Predominantly it's three sectors: One is pollution control, and that's predominantly companies that are looking at reducing emissions from coal- fired power plants. The other space is distributed generation and distributed power storage, which includes lithium-ion battery companies for hybrid vehicles or companies that will have alternative technology power storage, or essentially have some sort of distributed solution for power storage or power generation. And then the last space is more on the demand side of the equation and is related to the smart grid - they are really demand response and energy efficiency companies, whether it is EnerNOC (ENOC) or Comverge (COMV). So they are demand response providers, which is an energy efficiency- or callable-type power reserve-free utility to have on the electricity grid. So everything outside of solar and wind, pretty much.

TWST: What factors trigger some growth in the mid to long term for the companies you cover?
Mr. Dille: So it's everything from pollution control to alternative vehicles. On the pollution control side, I think what we've seen happen is the change in administration and broader headwinds from the economic downturn. In the short run, the administration has probably caused some disruption and lack of clarity in direction of new policy, and what the new administration is going to set out as policy for pollution control. Additionally, what we've seen through the decline in the economy is also a decline in electricity demand and also a decline in profitability metrics for utilities. And I believe this has really reduced capital budgets and the utilities' propensity to spend on pollution reduction and control technologies. That being said, for activated carbon in particular there are strong incentives established by independent states to control mercury from the coal-fired power plants that operate within their territory. So despite what the lack of federal oversight looks like and despite the propensity for the utilities to spend on pollution control, the state mandates are really driving the marketplace for activated carbon. And predominantly, the control of mercury is from coal plants.

 

Tickers included in this excerpt: CCC, COMV, ECNG.OB, ENOC, HEV

 

For more information call (212) 952 7433. The Wall Street Transcript does not endorse any of the comments made by interviewees, and does not make stock recommendations.