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Money Manager Interview Excerpt
INVESTING IN GOLD - ADRIAN DAY -  ADRIAN DAY ASSET MANAGEMENT


Full article published: 06/29/2009


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TWST: What do you mean by "safe-haven buying?"
Mr. Day: Investors and others looking for some asset class that will protect their assets, if the financial assets fall apart. And that really started at the end of September/beginning of October. We really saw that kind of buying coming in. There is always some of that, of course. It is a very traditional thing in Europe for large portfolios to have 5% of their assets in bullion as a permanent hedge on the rest of the portfolio. But we've certainly seen much more of that buying in the last nine months than we typically do.

TWST: You also said there is less hedge buying than what we usually see. Why is that?
Mr. Day: Two things really. Typically companies hedge for two reasons. They hedge when they are building a new mine to raise capital upfront and to lock in a certain price, to ensure that the mine is profitable in its early years, etc. The other one, frankly, that we saw a lot of in the 1990s and early 2000s, was really more speculative hedging, companies which wanted a sell forward because they thought the price was high and it was a good time to lock in the price and so on. But they didn't need to do it; it wasn't because they were building a new mine or anything like that. You've seen very, very little of that recently. Typically, you get that type of hedging when people are cautious on the market; when people are bullish on gold. Obviously, you are not going to lock in the price if you think it is going higher. So, in this kind of environment, we've had very little of that. The other thing is that investors buy gold mining stocks because they think the price of gold is going up. They certainly don't want the mining company locking in a price if they think the price is going higher. And companies heard from a lot of angry shareholders when they were selling their gold at $650 or $700 when the price was $850 or $900.

 

Tickers included in this excerpt: ANV, FNV:TSX, GG, MD:TSX, RGLD, VGQ:TSX

 

For more information call (212) 952 7433. The Wall Street Transcript does not endorse any of the comments made by interviewees, and does not make stock recommendations.