Surge in E&P Budgets Shows Promising Upstream Growth
Posted in General Investing on June 3rd, 2010Following five years of mediocre growth, E&P companies are finally showing signs of increased capital growth and ramped-up spending, an improvement from the chronic underinvestment and slow production that characterized the industry in previous years.
According to Raymond James & Associates Analyst Pavel Molchanov, E&P capital budgets have increased to date in 2010, with the majors guiding production growth of between 2% and 4%.
“I think in general those numbers tend to be on the aggressive side,” said Molchanov, who points out that investors remain skeptical of these far-reaching growth projections. “But at least these companies are taking the right steps to get some growth, and hopefully that will translate into a better multiple as a result.”
Two additional trends Molchanov observes in the E&P industry are a resurgence of interest in North America, in the realm of shale plays, deepwater drilling and joint ventures, such as BP (BP)-Chesapeake (CHK) in the Fayetteville Shale, and greater frontier exploration in geographies with no current oil production.
“Certainly there are opportunities in more established areas, like Brazil, Australia and Angola, but frontier exploration is definitely a trend that we’re seeing accelerate,” Molchanov said. “Ghana, in West Africa, is a good example. We’ve seen Western companies and the Chinese fighting over a multibillion-barrel field there.”