Goldberg Says Residential Construction Market Will Bottom by Year’s End
Posted in Industrial & Services Stocks on May 6th, 2009In our special focus this week on Residential Construction, we spoke with David Goldberg of UBS, who relayed told us a little bit about when he thought the Residential Construction market would bottom out:
Mr. Goldberg: The first thing I’ll tell you is, I think we are getting closer to the bottom of the cycle. We’ve been saying for some time that we think the fourth quarter 2009 will be the trough in housing. We really look at both price and sales pace. From a sales pace perspective, which a lot of folks are looking at now, I probably agree that it is not going to go down dramatically from here. We have to get some price stability and that’s not going to happen until we start to see supply let up and we just don’t believe that that’s going to happen until the end of this year. So with that in mind, we think we are probably six to eight months away from the trough in housing.
For the complete Residential Construction report, including the full interview with Mr. Goldberg, including stock picks, and an outlook for investors, click here.