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Archive for February, 2009

Sony’s CEO Presses To Take Control of Management Reins

Posted in Liberum Management Change on February 27th, 2009

Sir Howard Stringer, Sony’s CEO (and a current CEO on Liberum’s CEO Watch list), has in dramatic fashion exerted his power.  In a management shakeup, Sir Howard ousted Ryoji Chubachi as president.  Chubachi, a well known Japanese executive who has been in charge of the company’s Playstation 3 and Bravia televisions, will be reassigned to a new position as part of Stringer’s ongoing reorganization.  According to a story by Hiroshi Suzuki and Masaki Kondo for BloombSir Howard Stringererg,Ryoji Chubachi

(Stringer) took control of the main electronics business as the maker of the PlayStation 3 and Bravia televisions faces a record loss.        

… Chubachi, 61, will become vice chairman in charge of product safety, quality and environmental issues.

The reassignment of Chubachi, a 32-year veteran at Sony, may help clear the way for Stringer to reorganize the company as the global recession erodes sales.  

 Stringer has finally begun to take forceful action to get Sony back on track as an innovative firm.   He seems to understand that the firm needs to get itself out of areas in which it is no longer competitive, even when those areas at one time were considered the mainstay of the company’s business.  Making these changes have been complicated by the cultural and business conventions that Japanese business particularly in Japan follow.  Stringer has finSony One Year Stock Performanceally broken through a bit.  According to a story by Hiroko Tabuchi for the New York Times Stringer was quoted saying,

“We have two distinct challenges facing us,” Mr. Howard said at a news conference. “The first is the global slowdown, which force us to make significant adjustments. The second challenge is the evolution of our competitive environment. New competitors springing out everywhere.”        

… “Have I broken down all the silo walls? No,” Mr. Stringer said. “Are they very strong and very thick? Yes. But we’ve broken down a lot of them. Our goal is to continue to do that.”

 We will have to wait and see how the Japanese react to Stringer’s moves and what elese he has up his sleeve as he continues to try and reorganize the firm.  Stringer’s challenges remain large and complicated.  For more:  BusinessWeek    Reuters  Silicon Alley Insider  Globe and Mail (AP)  Twice  Register UK  Gamasutra   Variety  Guardian UK   Financial Times  

Fad Clogs Maker – Crocs – Turns to new CEO — Too little too late?

Posted in Liberum Management Change on February 26th, 2009

The colorful plastic clog maker Crocs CROX (NASDAQ), whose shoes at one point were selling like hoola hoops back in the late 50′s and early 60′s, but are now selling more like a dying fad finally made a change at the top of the corporate ladder.  The company which had been under the tutelage of Ron Snyder has seen its stock and products declicrocs.gifne even faster than the current stock market.  Yesterday the firm announced that Snyder would be retiring and the company had selected John Duerden, a former president and COO of Reebok International back in the 90s.  Duerden had also been a high level executive at Dictaphone.  He has over twenty years experience managing at a senior level.  According to a story in fibre2fashion.com,

Duerden began his career with Xerox Corp. and its UK joint venture, Rank Xerox, where he held line and staff management positions in Europe, the U.S., Latin America and the Asia-Pacific region. He later served as chairman and CEO of Dictaphone Corp., a maker of voice management hardware and software and subsequently as chief operating officer of the development division of Invensys plc, a British engineering conglomerate. He served as a non-executive director of Telewest plc, a British cable, TV, telephony and broadband company; and of Sunglass Hut International. He comes to Crocs from the Chrysallis Group, a consulting group he formed in 2006, focused on the development and renewal of brands.  

Crocs appears to have waited far too long to make a change at the top.  Snyder, who as the company’s CEO, was selected by Douglas McIntyre of Wall Street’s 24/7 back in November as the “Most Overpaid CEO of the Day“.  The company for too long has been living off of their plastic clogs fad.  Very little was done by the firm to find new products.  The company has managed to find ways to expand internationally but that has not been sufficient for its long term survival.  The newly appointed CEO Duerden at least has the requisite qualifications to attempt a real turnaround of the firm.  It is difficult to say in today’s difficult marketplace what Duerden can come up with in terms of new products we will just have to wait and see.  According to a story in the Boston Business Journal,

Crocs on Feb. 19 reported that it lost $33.2 million, or 40 cents a share, in the fourth quarter of 2008, versus a profit of $38.3 million, or 45 cents a share, in the same quarter of 2007, ahead of analysts’ expectations. 

It said its revenue declined to $126.1 million in Q4 from $224.8 million a year earlier.

The company said that while sales revenue declined sharply in the Americas and Europe through all of 2008, it rose 22.4 percent in Asia.

Crocs  said it expects a loss of 17 to 32 cents a share in the first quarter of 2009. It said it expected revenues of between $110 million and $135 million. 

There are many out there that still feel there is hope for the Crocs brand (see Schaeffer Market blog), I am not nearly as positive.  We will just have to wait and see what the new CEO can do to turn the company around.   For more:  Forbes  Boulder County Business Report     Womens Wear Daily  

Innovations in Computer Hardware

Posted in Technology Stocks on February 24th, 2009

One of our other focuses in the current issue of the Wall Street Transcript is on Computer Hardware. We spoke with analyst Yair Reiner about the current state of this space, given how the economic downturn is taking its toll on much of the technology sector. Mr. Reiner told us that despite the economic downturn, there are a few areas in Computer Hardware that may seem some innovation in the coming year:

  1. LED Backlighting- “On the notebook side, we’ll see more models offering LED backlighting, building on the trend that was ignited by Apple’s (AAPL) MacBook Air. The advantage of LED backlighting is that it provides a thinner form factor and better energy efficiency than traditional fluorescent backlighting and is also greener when the notebook ultimately has to be disposed of. “
  2. Notebook Displays- “We’ll see also more innovation in terms of the form factor of notebook displays, as more models transition to the 16:9 dimension, which is ideal for multimedia applications, such as watching movies.”
  3. Touch Screens- “Another area of innovation will be touch screen technology. We’re hearing a lot about the fact that Windows 7 will be touch enabled. Turning the computer screen into a third input device, above and beyond the keyboard and mouse, could transform how and where computers are used both in the home and the enterprise.”

For the complete Computer Hardware report, including an full interview with Mr. Reiner, as well as interviews with additional analysts giving an overview of this space, and stock picks, click here.

Specialty Pharmaceuticals- No Longer Defensive

Posted in Healthcare Stocks on February 23rd, 2009

One of our special focuses in the latest issue of the Wall Street Transcript is on Specialty Pharmaceuticals. We asked several analysts to talk to us about what the economic downturn is going to mean for this space. Louise Chen of Collins Stewart, LLC had this to say:

Ms. Chen: I think what you’re seeing in health care in general is that health care is no longer a defensive space. A lot of healthcare companies in the space that I cover, the spec pharma companies, get a portion of their income from discretionary spending. Allergan (AGN) and Medicis (MRX) have medical aesthetic products, and as a result of the economic downturn, consumers are pulling back on spending for these things. Advanced Medical Optics (EYE), which is being acquired by Abbott (ABT), that company did lasik surgery and that’s thousands of dollars out of pocket. So you’ll see that stock also getting hurt by the economic downturn. That’s a trend that we’re seeing going forward in the spec pharma space.

For the complete Specialty Pharmaceuticals report, including a complete interview with Ms. Chen as well as interviews with analysts covering a variety of aspects of this space, click here. 

Honda Succession Planning Shines – American Car Cos. Are You Watching?

Posted in Liberum Management Change on February 23rd, 2009

Japanese automakers continue to show how management is performed.  Toyota recently announced a new CEO and now Honda 7267 (Japanese Exchange), Japan’s third largest car manufacturer, has announced a changing of its guard as well.  Honda has continued its traditioTakeo Fukuin of appointing an engineer to its top job, something American car companies should be considering (particularly General Motors).  In a press release, Honda announced that Takanobu Ito, will take over as president and CEO in late June after the company’s annual shareholders’ meeting.  He will replace Takeo Fukui who has served as president and CEO since 2003.  Fukui has done a tremendous job managing the firm but his age 64 in combination with the current worldwide automobile industry crisis has forced the Japanese to act boldly with regard to its top management.   Acccording to the company’s press release,Takanobu Ito

Ito joined Honda in 1978, and began his career in its automobile research and development operations, principally as an engineer in the area of chassis design…       

From April 1998 to March 2000, Ito was stationed in the U.S. as Executive Vice President of Honda R&D Americas, Inc., where he became actively involved in the development of the Acura brand’s first sport-utility vehicle, the MDX…

In June 2000, Ito was appointed to the Board of Directors of Honda Motor, simultaneously gaining promotion to Managing Director of Honda R&D Co., Ltd. (Honda R&D). He subsequently became President and Director of Honda R&D in June 2003. Ito also took on a role in the area of manufacturing as General Manager of Honda’s Suzuka Factory in April 2005.

In April 2007, Ito became Honda Motor’s Chief Operating Officer of Automobile Operations and a Senior Managing Director from June of the same year.

From April 2009, he will again assume the top position of President and Director of Honda R&D, a position he will continue to hold concurrently after the successful appointment as President & CEO of Honda Motor expected in late June 2009.

Honda unlike most automobile companies has managed to remain in the black especially of late but it also finds itself under severe financial pressure and has been making changes to deal with the current circumstances.  As pointed out  in an article by Hans Greimel of Automotive News Honda faces difficulties,

Honda’s vehicle sales in the United States, its most important market, tumbled 27.9 percent to 71,031 units in January. And its market share slid to 9.4 percent, from 10.8 percent.       

Aside from plunging demand, Honda also is fighting a surging yen. The yen’s rise undermines Honda’s international profits and makes Honda’s exports from Japan more expensive.

The Japanese currency traded around 93 per dollar on Monday, not far from a 13-year high near 87 per dollar hit in January. Fukui has called the range unsustainable and has warned Honda may move more operations overseas to counterbalance the foreign exchange hit — including R&D centers.

 According to a story by AP reporter Yuri Kageyama in the Charlotte Observer,

Both Fukui and Ito said the change at the helm is a message of its determination to turn a new leaf and press ahead with technological innovations – its longtime strength – to lift its sagging business, and have the momentum to be prepared to take advantage of a recovery, when it comes.       

“We are facing hardships that come once in a 100 years,” Ito said.

Ito said he would continue in Fukui’s footsteps in developing ecological and affordable products such as the Insight gas-electric hybrid, which has been a hit since going on sale recently.

“Honda’s strength has been its sensitivity to changing times and ability to respond quickly to customer needs,” he told reporters at the company’s headquarters. “My job is to come up with products that can pave the way for new times.” 

 The announced changes at Honda also mean a dual role for the new CEO.  Ito will not only be the CEO of the firm he will also be the head of the firm’s R&D.  As automobile compnaies find themselves forced to reduce their R&D budgets, Honda continues to show how important R&D is to its long term success and survival.  American automHonda One Year Stock Performanceobile manufacturing companies should start learning from the Japanese, even now as they are throttling toward possible bankruptcy.  Honda’s new CEO selection while a smart move is no guarantee of success.  The automobile industry in general will remain in difficult times for a long period.  Honda’s small size while beneficial when making changes rapidly remains a distinct disadvantage in this market when capital and resources are often needed to maintain survival.  Ito while engineer at heart has shown a keen understanding of business and the auto marketplace.  I expect he will carry on the tradition of his former boss, Fukui, and the company’s founder, Soichiro Honda. Keep a close eye on the business moves Honda takes over the next year.  For more:  Autoblog  Management Today UK   AFP  Bloggingstocks   Bloomberg   Wall Street Journal   BusinessWeek  Dayton Business Journal  International Herald Tribune  

Recommended Reading – SEC to Examine Boards’ Role in Financial Crisis, Washington Post

Posted in Liberum Management Change on February 20th, 2009

According to a story by Zachary A. Goldfarb in today’s Washington Post Board of Directors at financial firms might wish to take heed.  Taylor reports the new head of the SEC, Mary Schapiro, plans to have the agency investigate whether the boards,

of banks and other financial firms conducted effective oversight leading up to the financial crisis… 

… As she examines what went wrong, Schapiro is also considering asking boards to disclose more about directors’ backgrounds and skills, specifically how much they know about managing risk…  

We are finally about to see real pressure on boards to perform their duties rather than rubber stamp management’s plans.  Time will tell if Schapiro and the SEC can make some real changes specifically with regard to how boards carry out their responsibilities.  I think with time the SEC will make some real changes.   

Smart Grid Related Firm, Itron Inc., Promotes New CEO

Posted in Liberum Management Change on February 19th, 2009

Itron, Inc. ITRI (NASDAQ), a global supplier of wireless data acquisition and communication products for electric, gas and water utilities yesterday announced reduced guidance for the first quarter and all of 2009.  The company also named a neLeRoy Nosbaumw CEO, Malcolm Unsworth the firm’s current president and chief operating officer.  Unsworth will replace LeRoy Nosbaum as CEO on March 31, 2009.  Nosbaum will remain executive chairman of the firm until the end of 2009.  The executive change at Itron comes at key time for the firm.  Itron is at the forefront of smart metering a key issue the new Obama administration is expected to push for Malcolm Unsworthas it focuses on the improving the nation’s electric grid.  While Itron has an opportunity to take advantage of these potential changes the firm along with some of its key competitors have found themselves facing a new competitor that could shake their foundation – Google.  Google recently announced it was looking to involve itself in the smart metering business.    According to a story by Katie Fehrenbacher in an earth2tech story referring to Google’s entry into the smart metering business,

… Google’s entrance into the space does raise a lot of questions for these firms. First off, will Google be a competitor or a partner?   

 

 … Perhaps a bigger question than whether Google is friend or foe is, who owns the relationship with the customer? 

 

… Beyond the issue of customer loyalty, Google’s entrance into smart meter software brings in a heavy-hitter for companies that are looking for Internet Protocol to be the basis of the next-generation smart grid. While some companies are hoping IP will be the dominant standard, many older companies have built networks and technologies on different standards, and even proprietary standards. Incumbent smart meter companies like Itron, Landis+Gyr, Elster and Aclara (part of ESCO Technologies) have already expressed concern over language in the stimulus bill that emphasizes Internet protocol for the smart grid.

Itron’s selection of Unsworth as the new CEO, an insider knowledgeable about the company, the industry anOne Year Stock Performance of Itron, Inc.d the vicissitudes of the industry was a well thought out decision.  The company’s board seems to be doing its job.  While Itron appears to be facing stiff competition from traditional competitors and now possibly Google, the company continues to have great potential.  Unsworth has shown himself to be a very capable executive who has the ability to stand up for the firm and make the right decisions in a difficult market.  Keep a close eye on the business decisions and possible changes Unsworth makes as he takes over management of the firm at the end of March.   For more:  Itron Press Release  RTT News  Briefing.com   

Advice to Investors

Posted in General Investing on February 18th, 2009

In the midsts of this economic crisis, people are worried about what the future may hold for them. We asked this very question during our portfolio manager interviews here at TWST: what advice do they have for investors for the immediate future? Here’s what our portfolio managers said:

  1.  Jeffrey Auxier, Auxier Asset Management (Long-Term Value Investing)- “I think they should understand the perils of borrowed money and realize that it’s great on the upside, but it can totally take you out on the downside. I think investing requires commitment to voracious research. It’s not looking at quotes on a screen, it’s looking at businesses and being a business analyst. It is looking at businesses in their entirety, asking, what makes a good business? What makes a good management? What’s an enduring business? What business has been around for 50, 100 years? Why is that?”
  2. Lance Helfert, West Coast Asset Management (entrepreneurial investing)- “I think that investors really need to use their own eyes and not their ears. We’ve seen a lot of scandals in the past six months and if an investor can just use their eyes and say, “I shop at this grocery store” and “I buy this product” and just simplify everything they do and really understand what they buy, I think that’s a good way to go about investing in this environment.”
  3. Martin Anstee, Stone Asset Management (Dividend Growth & Income)- “In simple terms, if everyone else is just thinking small, you think big. If everybody else is disowning stocks, now is probably the time to be buying them. We cannot promise that we are at the bottom, but we do think the worst is over, although we may have to touch the lows we saw in November 2008 again. If you take a longer-term view, this will turn out to have been an excellent time to buy stocks. Be patient, pick your spots and buy the stocks and put them away. In five years time, you are going to look back and say, “I am glad I bought stocks, that was the right time to do it.”

For the complete Investing Strategies report, including complete interviews with each of these portfolio managers giving a general outlook for 2009, and stock picks, click here. 

Recommended Reading – Advice for Outgoing CEOs, Business Week

Posted in Liberum Management Change on February 17th, 2009

Marshall Goldsmith, the well-known business author, has an insightful piece in Business Week entitled, Advice for Outgoing CEOs, How can you avoid being a lame duck? You can’t, so make the most of it.  The article focuses on one of the most important keys to executive transitions that have so often tripped up outgoing CEOs and their respective companies. According to Goldsmith,

Leaders who are getting ready to slow down and pass the baton often have a common fear: that they will become lame ducks if they announce their successors in advance. No one wants that to happen.   

Almost every leader goes through this inner dialogue as part of the challenge of “slowing down.” This fear, which often results in postponing the announcement about succession until the last minute, inhibits what could have been a much smoother transition.

Face it: When you are nearing the time to exit, you will become a lame duck! That is O.K. Eyes will immediately turn to your successor as his or her vision for the company will mean more than yours…

 Goldsmith’s advice is so on point.  If more top executives would just follow his simple advice more firms would find themselves able to handle CEO transitions far more effectively.  Key changes in corporate leadership would in most circumstances be far more effective and less problematic for companies and the executives taking charge.

Recommended Reading – Successful leadership – how would you know? London Business School

Posted in Liberum Management Change on February 13th, 2009

Sir Andrew Likierman, Professor of Management Practice and dean of London Business School, put together a  fascinating piece of research on how business leaders can effectively measure their success.  The research entitled, Successful leadership – how would you know? appears on the London Business School’s website.   Professor Likierman writes,For those who want to check on their leadership success, for those who appoint leaders and for outsiders (including analysts and competitors) assessing the quality of leadership, checklists of traits are not enough. Nor are comparisons… … What’s needed is how to overcome the measurement problems.  So, a number of preliminary steps are necessary to make sure that measurement is robust.

Preliminary step 1: Agree what we’re measuring … note that this is the beginning, not the end of the story… 

Preliminary step 2: Focus on outcomes, not inputs … Success is about results, not characteristics.

Preliminary step 3: Make sure the data is as robust as possible… 

 Once the preliminary steps are taken the Professor recommends you,  

Step 1: Set up the framework…

Step 2: Use judgement to interpret… 

Step 3: As far as possible, reconcile the needs of different stakeholders…

He concludes,

Successful leadership is about a successful outcome against stated objectives combined with comparisons against a relevant peer group and the way in which opportunities are handled.  

Take the time to read this short article, it’s quite prescient, particularly now during such trying financial times.